Scotland is “nowhere attain” the cease of the Omicron wave, with cases probably to double or treble in coming days, the national clinical director has mentioned.
Jason Leitch commended BBC Scotland that objects commended a leisurely January or early February top and a pointy upward thrust in deaths and scientific institution admissions.
But Prof Leitch mentioned Scotland used to be now not “powerless” and must restful fight to in the carve price of or extend the cease.
A return to stricter lockdown measure used to be additionally now not “inevitable”, he added.
Omicron is well-known extra infectious than previous Covid traces and now accounts for greater than half of of all Scottish cases.
The total preference of certain assessments has additionally been rising since the stop of November, when Omicron used to be first detected in Scotland.
Talking on BBC Radio Scotland’s Lunchtime Are living programme, Prof Leitch mentioned: “Sure cases comprise been rising over the weekend. We approached over 5,000 – I’m expecting that to hurry up once more as of late and for the the leisure of this week.
“I’m alarmed we’re now not in the foothills to any extent further of this Omicron wave, we’re in it.”
In leaked minutes viewed by the BBC closing week, the Scientific Advisory Community for Emergencies commended that if no extra restrictions comprise been offered, UK scientific institution admissions might well per chance top at between 3,000 and 10,000 a day – and deaths between 600 and 6,000.
Prof Leitch mentioned this might well translate to between 60 and 600 Covid deaths a day in Scotland, but added there used to be now not yet enough data on Omicron to know for certain.
He commended BBC Scotland that scientific institution admissions for Covid would commence up to upward thrust quickly, reflecting the original develop in cases.
“We are very hopeful that Omicron might well per chance now not be as severe, so that that you just can now not pick up as many hospitalisations per 100 other folks,” he mentioned.
“But the fact you will be in a position to pick out up double, treble the preference of cases design it’s now not lengthy sooner than our hospitals actually fight – and our hospitals are already finding it very well-known thanks to iciness, postponed care, other diseases and a few Covid.”
Prof Leitch mentioned it used to be now not inevitable that hospitals might well per chance be overwhelmed, but warned of “well-known picks” round patient care as they became “very, very busy”.
“The modelling suggests the cease of this wave is a miniature bit bit unpredictable, but seemingly into leisurely January, early February, so that affords you some belief of the keep apart we’re headed,” he mentioned.
“But we’re now not powerless. There are things we can enact to receive that top smaller and per chance even extend it to give us beyond regular time, because the extra we extend, the extra we vaccinate.”
He mentioned it used to be key that folks diminished their socialising as well-known as they might and maintained social distancing with other folks exterior their family.
A instant booster programme is believed to be needed in tackling the specter of Omicron because the third dose appears to be like to present well-known extra protection towards the stress.
The Scottish authorities has mentioned it desires to give the booster to 80% of all eligible adults by the stop of the year, and the preference of on each day basis vaccinations has gone up to higher than 60,000 a day since the stop of closing week.
About 6,700 original cases comprise been confirmed on Monday, but Public Health Scotland mentioned the implications of many assessments comprise been delayed thanks to the “higher volumes” being processed by labs.
The instant upward thrust in cases has led to hints that more challenging Covid restrictions might well per chance be offered around the original year.
Prof Leitch commended BBC Scotland that Omicron wanted a “rapidly and difficult” response, but mentioned a chubby lockdown used to be now not “inevitable”.
“I style now not think we’ll return to what we knew as lockdown proper before the total lot, [because of] the opposite harms – economic, tutorial, the mental properly being harms,” he mentioned.
“I suspect the politicians around the sector will will have to take into consideration other protections, but that can depend on the deliver of the pandemic and their atmosphere – Scotland included – but additionally depending on what that you just can additionally enact financially.”